Debate the markets

Live Polymarket and Manifold prediction markets. Pick one, click Debate it, and an AI will argue the side you disagree with — out loud, in real time. Then log your posterior and see how much you actually moved.

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polymarket

Will Donald Trump run for president in 2028?

32% YES

polymarket

Will the Fed cut rates at its next meeting?

58% YES

polymarket

Will AI pass the Turing test in 2026?

41% YES

manifold

Will a third-party candidate win a state in 2028?

12% YES

manifold

Will SpaceX land humans on Mars before 2030?

18% YES